Pre-tourney Rankings
South Florida
American Athletic
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#259
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#272
Pace62.4#329
Improvement+5.2#18

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#259
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+4.1#21

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#259
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.2#123
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 245   Florida Atlantic W 60-59 58%     1 - 0 -7.0 -4.0 -4.0
  Nov 13, 2017 325   Morgan St. L 53-63 77%     1 - 1 -23.6 -6.8 -6.8
  Nov 15, 2017 319   @ Stetson W 75-72 53%     2 - 1 -3.7 -3.3 -3.3
  Nov 19, 2017 66   @ Indiana L 53-70 7%     2 - 2 -6.0 +5.5 +5.5
  Nov 22, 2017 335   Howard W 75-52 84%     3 - 2 +6.4 -8.3 -8.3
  Nov 24, 2017 280   Arkansas St. W 72-61 65%     4 - 2 +1.0 -5.0 -5.0
  Nov 26, 2017 143   Eastern Michigan L 47-65 35%     4 - 3 -19.9 -0.9 -0.9
  Nov 30, 2017 242   @ Elon L 78-79 OT 34%     4 - 4 -2.7 -0.9 -0.9
  Dec 02, 2017 213   @ Appalachian St. L 61-84 28%     4 - 5 -23.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Dec 11, 2017 239   Florida International L 53-65 56%     4 - 6 -19.6 -3.8 -3.8
  Dec 14, 2017 298   Bethune-Cookman W 83-63 69%     5 - 6 +8.8 -5.6 -5.6
  Dec 18, 2017 330   Northern Arizona W 70-56 80%     6 - 6 -0.8 -7.4 -7.4
  Dec 21, 2017 313   Charlotte W 78-76 73%     7 - 6 -10.3 -6.2 -6.2
  Dec 28, 2017 18   Houston L 60-79 6%     7 - 7 0 - 1 -7.8 +5.6 +5.6
  Dec 31, 2017 85   @ SMU L 39-79 8%     7 - 8 0 - 2 -30.6 +4.7 +4.7
  Jan 03, 2018 286   East Carolina L 65-67 67%     7 - 9 0 - 3 -12.4 -5.2 -5.2
  Jan 07, 2018 19   @ Wichita St. L 57-95 3%     7 - 10 0 - 4 -20.8 +8.6 +8.6
  Jan 13, 2018 5   Cincinnati L 55-78 4%     7 - 11 0 - 5 -8.0 +7.5 +7.5
  Jan 17, 2018 286   @ East Carolina L 52-90 44%     7 - 12 0 - 6 -42.4 -2.2 -2.2
  Jan 20, 2018 104   Central Florida L 69-71 23%     7 - 13 0 - 7 -0.3 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 25, 2018 166   @ Tulane W 80-75 19%     8 - 13 1 - 7 +8.3 +1.6 +1.6
  Jan 28, 2018 18   @ Houston L 40-63 3%     8 - 14 1 - 8 -5.8 +8.6 +8.6
  Jan 31, 2018 135   Memphis L 74-86 33%     8 - 15 1 - 9 -13.3 -0.6 -0.6
  Feb 04, 2018 98   Tulsa L 54-63 22%     8 - 16 1 - 10 -7.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Feb 07, 2018 153   @ Connecticut L 65-68 18%     8 - 17 1 - 11 +0.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Feb 10, 2018 87   Temple L 55-73 20%     8 - 18 1 - 12 -15.0 +1.5 +1.5
  Feb 14, 2018 104   @ Central Florida L 57-72 11%     8 - 19 1 - 13 -7.3 +3.9 +3.9
  Feb 18, 2018 98   @ Tulsa L 61-73 10%     8 - 20 1 - 14 -3.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Feb 24, 2018 166   Tulane L 68-79 38%     8 - 21 1 - 15 -13.7 -1.4 -1.4
  Mar 01, 2018 135   @ Memphis W 75-51 16%     9 - 21 2 - 15 +28.8 +2.4 +2.4
  Mar 04, 2018 85   SMU W 65-54 19%     10 - 21 3 - 15 +14.3 +1.7 +1.7
  Mar 08, 2018 135   Memphis L 77-79 23%     10 - 22 -0.3 +0.9 +0.9
Projected Record 10.0 - 22.0 3.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%